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AAA-rated government bonds are used to back basically all futures contracts, to provide ubersafe assets to big banks and pension funds, to stabilize currency fluctuations, and to serve as totally-safe better-than-cash assets in a whole wide variety of situations. If a government loses its AAA rating, its bonds can’t be used like this anymore, because big institutional investors no longer regard them as 100% safe. 
So AAA debt is a really valuable renewable resource to global financial markets. And a big orange wedge on that chart above is currently risking downgrade. If the US Treasury is downgraded, anything that’s backed with US Treasury bonds suddenly becomes a little more risky and a little less valuable, all at once. Through the magic of leveraging, that corresponds to trillions of dollars of outstanding transactions, which would stand to lose billions of dollars in value. And there’s no good substitute to use in the meantime, because there aren’t that many AAA-rated governments and many of them are small countries (like Denmark or Luxembourg) with relatively little outstanding debt.
Hopefully this explains why a potential US downgrade could cause some really serious issues for global markets. 
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AAA-rated government bonds are used to back basically all futures contracts, to provide ubersafe assets to big banks and pension funds, to stabilize currency fluctuations, and to serve as totally-safe better-than-cash assets in a whole wide variety of situations. If a government loses its AAA rating, its bonds can’t be used like this anymore, because big institutional investors no longer regard them as 100% safe. 

So AAA debt is a really valuable renewable resource to global financial markets. And a big orange wedge on that chart above is currently risking downgrade. If the US Treasury is downgraded, anything that’s backed with US Treasury bonds suddenly becomes a little more risky and a little less valuable, all at once. Through the magic of leveraging, that corresponds to trillions of dollars of outstanding transactions, which would stand to lose billions of dollars in value. And there’s no good substitute to use in the meantime, because there aren’t that many AAA-rated governments and many of them are small countries (like Denmark or Luxembourg) with relatively little outstanding debt.

Hopefully this explains why a potential US downgrade could cause some really serious issues for global markets. 

Source: thinkprogress.org

    • #debt ceiling
    • #politics
    • #united states
    • #sorry about the pie chart abbyjean
  • 7 months ago
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  1. dred-pirate-rob reblogged this from dred-pirate-rob and added:
    i simple explanation of what the debt ceiling means jakke:
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Economics grad student, worrying too much about economics, math, and policy. Very much Canadian, living in by far the best corner of the country. Friend of Dorothy, if you get my drift. Distinct appreciation for rye, sushi, and beaches. Expect plenty of graphs, feelings, and stochastic optimization.

Please don't take any financial advice I give here seriously. I am a stranger off the Internet, and I have a proven track record of horrible financial advice. (Not kidding - I can get you testimony, if you like.) Also any opinions I express are only my own and don't represent anyone who is or has employed me.

Here are the charts I've made.

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